Wednesday, January 5, 2011

kevin kelly



web (not internet) is 5000 days old - and if we would have suggested it 5000 days ago - we would have said - that's impossible.  (and what has happened is amazing and no one is amazed)
so what will happen in the next 5000 days

100 bill clicks per day
55 trillion links
to a first approx - size of machine is size of brain
however your brain isn't doubling every 2 years
2040 - will exceed human brain in world
consequences
1) we're giving this machine a body -
portals
the cloud - touching the cloud to compute - everything goes through it
our environment becomes the web...embed web into the world
2) restructure it's architecture -
a) link computers - net  [machine to machine]  b) link pages [page to page]  c)  link info [id to id]
so you have to be open to having your data shared vs just your page or computer
after 5000 days - future d) link things
3) we're going to become co-dependent on it - our environment becomes the web...embed web into the world
always on it - total personalization will require total transparency


we think dependency is bad - but now - we're totally dependent on other techs - ie the alphabet, etc

next 5000 - not going to be the web but only better
going to be smarter (anticpate what we're doing in a good sense)
will know us
will be more ubiquitous - us in the middle of it

you have to begin to think of this as a new kind of stage - not just - only better
it's a large organism, it's a whole system, a one, a unity of some sort is starting to emerge.






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